2026 World Cup Simulator (2024)

2026 World Cup Qualifying Simulator

Pot 1 & ranking points

France 1873 Brazil 1864 England 1856 Belgium 1833 Argentina 1816 Portugal 1750 Morocco 1737 Denmark 1718 Spain 1707 Netherlands 1706 Croatia 1698 Uruguay 1698

Pot 2 & ranking points

Italy 1684 Germany 1655 Colombia 1647 USA 1628 Chile 1611 Mexico 1609 Senegal 1596 Japan 1594 Poland 1585 Iran 1583 Ukraine 1568 Nigeria 1543

Pot 3 & ranking points

Austria 1542 Tunisia 1537 Algeria 1532 Egypt 1530 Australia 1514 Saudi Arabia 1507 Panama 1497 Costa Rica 1478 Burkina Faso 1459 Slovakia 1458 Paraguay 1457 Cameroon 1453

Pot 4 & ranking points

Ecuador 1453 Canada 1449 Côte d'Ivoire 1448 Qatar 1433 Jamaica 1425 North Macedonia 1390 Oman 1332 Vietnam 1288 Kyrgyz Republic 1276 New Zealand 1242 Azerbaijan 1212 St. Kitts and Nevis 1160

Group 1

₃Tunisia6 ₁Uruguay4 ₄Vietnam4 ₂Ukraine2Avg. Ranking 1523

Group 2

₁Denmark7 ₂Colombia6 ₄Côte d'Ivoire2 ₃Australia1Avg. Ranking 1582

Group 3

₁Argentina7 ₂Japan7 ₃Costa Rica3 ₄New Zealand0Avg. Ranking 1533

Group 4

₃Saudi Arabia6 ₂Senegal4 ₁Netherlands4 ₄St. Kitts and Nevis3Avg. Ranking 1492

Group 5

₁Spain7 ₂USA4 ₃Cameroon3 ₄Ecuador3Avg. Ranking 1560

Group 6

₁Belgium9 ₃Paraguay4 ₂Italy4 ₄Qatar0Avg. Ranking 1602

Group 7

₁Croatia7 ₂Mexico6 ₃Burkina Faso4 ₄Azerbaijan0Avg. Ranking 1494

Group 8

₁France9 ₂Germany2 ₃Panama2 ₄Oman2Avg. Ranking 1589

Group 9

₁Brazil7 ₄Canada6 ₃Algeria4 ₂Poland0Avg. Ranking 1608

Group 10

₂Chile9 ₁Morocco6 ₄Jamaica3 ₃Slovakia0Avg. Ranking 1558

Group 11

₁England7 ₃Egypt7 ₄North Macedonia3 ₂Iran0Avg. Ranking 1590

Group 12

₂Nigeria6 ₄Kyrgyz Republic6 ₁Portugal4 ₃Austria1Avg. Ranking 1528

Colombia def. Tunisia

Netherlands def. Japan

Italy def. Spain

Germany def. Croatia

Vietnam def. Denmark

Argentina def. Saudi Arabia

Belgium def. USA

Mexico def. France

Brazil def. Uruguay

Senegal def. Chile

England def. Algeria

Nigeria def. Burkina Faso

Portugal def. Canada

Morocco def. Paraguay

Egypt def. North Macedonia

Cameroon def. Kyrgyz Republic

Netherlands def. Colombia

Italy def. Germany

Argentina def. Vietnam

Belgium def. Mexico

Brazil def. Senegal

England def. Nigeria

Portugal def. Morocco

Egypt def. Cameroon

Netherlands def. Italy

Argentina def. Belgium

Brazil def. England

Portugal def. Egypt

Netherlands def. Argentina

Portugal def. Brazil

Portugal def. Netherlands

This simulates a 48-team World Cup. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and change as a result of playing qualification rounds, and will be updated soon. Friendlies and national championships/interim games are not simulated. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is somehow impossible, in which case it will ignore continental restrictions.Qualifying rounds are based on real life qualifying as announced. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent when necessary and is simulated correctly, but not shown.The intercontinental playoff works correctly with the teams with byes seeded by ranking. UEFA playoffs have not been announced yet, it is assumed there will be four playoffs with byes going to the top four second placed teams, though it is possible there will be a Nations League qualifier and three groups of four teams for three spots.To simualate ELO changes, 10 randomly scheduled friendlies and knockout rounds of all continental competitions before 2026 have been simulated in addition to qualifying (Qatar is placed in the CONCACAF cup, and CONCACAF teams are invited to the CONMEBOL tournament.)

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Qualifying Rounds

1 Ukraine152 Italy123 Bulgaria74 Faroe Islands1

1 England182 Georgia103 Czechia44 Kazakhstan3

1 Portugal182 Slovakia93 Romania44 Kosovo4

1 Croatia132 Bosnia & Herzegovina93 Rep. of Ireland84 Armenia2

1 France182 Finland83 Wales74 Lithuania1

1 Germany162 Northern Ireland103 Hungary84 Estonia0

1 Denmark222 Greece163 Belarus114 Norway75 Andorra1

1 North Macedonia172 Switzerland173 Turkey154 Cyprus95 Gibraltar0

1 Spain212 Scotland153 Israel134 Montenegro95 Malta1

1 Austria192 Azerbaijan153 Sweden134 Slovenia115 San Marino0

1 Belgium242 Serbia153 Albania134 Luxembourg75 Liechtenstein0

1 Netherlands212 Poland183 Iceland124 Latvia75 Moldova1

1 Tahiti82 New Caledonia83 Tonga74 Solomon Islands45 American Samoa0

1 New Zealand122 Papua New Guinea93 Fiji64 Vanuatu35 Samoa0

1 Brazil452 Argentina393 Uruguay374 Chile325 Colombia276 Ecuador207 Paraguay198 Peru189 Venezuela1810 Bolivia3

1 Honduras212 Guatemala183 Barbados124 St. Lucia95 Cayman Islands0

1 El Salvador192 Trinidad & Tobago193 Montserrat104 Dominican Republic95 Aruba1

1 Curaçao222 Costa Rica193 Puerto Rico74 Belize55 Anguilla4

1 Panama242 Cuba133 St. Vincent & the Grenadines134 Dominica45 Antigua & Barbuda4

1 Jamaica242 St. Kitts and Nevis153 Nicaragua154 British Virgin Isl.45 Grenada1

1 Haiti172 Guyana143 Bermuda104 Bahamas75 Suriname76 Mexico07 USA08 Canada0

1 Côte d'Ivoire242 Cabo Verde233 Angola134 Namibia115 Chad86 Liberia5

1 Egypt302 Congo DR173 Mozambique154 Congo145 Lesotho56 Botswana4

1 Nigeria282 Libya173 Zambia144 Gambia125 São Tomé & Príncipe76 Mauritania7

1 Tunisia242 Benin213 South Africa174 Ethiopia145 Somalia66 Zimbabwe5

1 Morocco302 Malawi203 Gabon124 Madagascar125 Eswatini86 Seychelles1

1 Cameroon232 Mali223 Kenya144 Central African Republic95 Comoros76 Eritrea5

1 Burkina Faso272 Guinea193 Guinea-Bissau174 Niger155 Tanzania76 Djibouti3

1 Senegal232 Equatorial Guinea223 Ghana144 Burundi95 Sudan96 Mauritius8

1 Algeria302 Uganda223 South Sudan124 Sierra Leone105 Rwanda76 Togo7

1 China PR182 Vietnam123 India64 Mongolia0

1 Oman132 Iraq123 Myanmar74 Indonesia3

1 Qatar182 Lebanon83 Afghanistan74 Maldives1

1 Korea Rep.182 Korea DPR103 Syria44 Malaysia3

1 Saudi Arabia162 Jordan113 Kuwait54 Hong Kong1

1 Australia142 Palestine133 Thailand74 Bhutan0

1 Tajikistan132 Kyrgyz Republic103 UAE94 Yemen3

1 Japan142 Uzbekistan103 Turkmenistan54 Macau4

1 Iran152 Bahrain113 Philippines64 Chinese Taipei2

Qualifying Rounds

75 Panama1676 Haiti1377 Honduras378 Cuba3

1 St. Kitts and Nevis122 Jamaica123 Trinidad & Tobago94 Curaçao3

1 Costa Rica122 Guatemala93 Guyana54 El Salvador5

1 Iran262 Australia203 Oman134 Palestine125 Korea DPR116 Uzbekistan3

1 Saudi Arabia252 Japan233 Vietnam154 Iraq135 Bahrain66 Tajikistan5

1 Qatar162 Kyrgyz Republic153 China PR144 Lebanon135 Jordan116 Korea Rep.11

Qualifying Rounds

164 Vietnam7165 Lebanon7166 China PR3

1 Oman102 Palestine43 Iraq3

UEFA Playoffs

Scotland def. Switzerland

Italy def. Scotland

Azerbaijan def. Greece

Azerbaijan def. Georgia

Serbia def. Northern Ireland

Slovakia def. Serbia

Poland def. Finland

Poland def. Bosnia & Herzegovina

CAF/AFC Playoffs

Cabo Verde def. Mali

Equatorial Guinea def. Uganda

Equatorial Guinea def. Cabo Verde

Palestine def. Lebanon

OFC Final

New Zealand def. Tahiti

Intercontinental Playoffs

Tahiti def. Palestine

Haiti def. Equatorial Guinea

Jamaica def. Tahiti

Paraguay def. Haiti

Continental Competition Winners

Denmark def. England

Morocco def. Nigeria

Panama def. Mexico

Japan def. UAE

Colombia def. Brazil

2026 World Cup Simulator (2024)

References